Niam, Nanda Yaumun (2018) Analisis dampak terpilihnya donald trump sebagai presiden amerika serikat terhadap indeks global. Masters thesis, Institut Pertanian Bogor.
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Abstract
The capital market is a means for companies to obtain funds by selling the rights of ownership to the community. In the process, The development of a country's capital market could not be released from various things happen such as political issues, economic issues, trade, as well as statements that other issues that come from home and abroad. Issues that occur in developed countries as the economic crisis, the turnover of the regime will have an impact for a centralized direction of Government policy in the country. The policy change will have an impact on stock price reductions, especially if it leads to greater uncertainty. Such uncertainty can also be perceived by stock index of countries that have relations with those countries. The election of President of the United States Donald Trump can have an impact on stock market movements in the World. Stock market reaction towards a phenomenon can be measured by abnormal return. Therefore this research is conducted to find out the impact of Election of president of the United States Donald Trump announcement to abnormal return on the global stock market. This research uses secondary data which are focused to analyse the impact of election of President of the United States Donald Trump announcement where divided into four events, the first time to run, the second win in the primaries, the third time as the current elected Trump's and the fourth as inauguration. the method analysis to calculating abnormal return is using event study. The calculation model to obtain the expected return using the moving average model. The results showed that most events are considered important by investors is when Trump won in primaries election. This happened because of many factors that occur around the events that influence the abnormal returns, such as the Turkish military coup, and the referendum Brexit. The only index that responded consistently in almost every event is an index of China (SSE) and the American index (S & P 500 and the Dow Jones). When Trump was elected largely global investors responded positively, but in developing countries the index has a negative response.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | abnormal return, moving average, pemilihan presiden as, pemilihan trump, studi peristiwa. abnormal return, event study, moving everage, trump election, us presidental election. |
| Subjects: | Manajemen Keuangan |
| Depositing User: | SB-IPB Library |
| Date Deposited: | 15 Dec 2018 03:18 |
| Last Modified: | 15 Dec 2018 03:18 |
| URI: | http://repository.sb.ipb.ac.id/id/eprint/3184 |
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